<div dir="ltr">
<p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">African Monsoons (AFMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Suppressed
rainfall prevailed across Southeastern Africa, whereas portions of western
Ethiopia, South Sudan and Uganda received above-average rainfall.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over western
Angola, Rwanda, Burundi, and much of Tanzania. In contrast, there is an
increased chance for below-average rainfall over northern Congo-Brazzaville,
northern DRC, portions of Zambia, Malawi, much of Zimbabwe, and Mozambique.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:
normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">Asian-Australian
Monsoons (AAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days rainfall amounts have generally been
below normal over many parts of India, across the southern and east Asia
monsoon region, particularly over Indonesia, Papa New Guinea, Malaysia, Laos,
Vietnam, and Thailand reasonably consistent with the ongoing strong El Nino
conditions. Australia is also relatively dry. However, parts of southeastern
India, Sri Lanka, and large parts of southeastern China have received above
normal rainfall amounts. It is interesting to note that for the past 90 days,
unlike other parts of SE Asia, almost entire China is at normal or above normal
levels of rainfall. For the past 30 days, rainfall was considerably above
normal over southeastern India and southeastern China, and over parts of
Malaysia and Indonesia. Also for the past 30 days, the vast India plus China
region is at near or above normal levels of received rainfall. The Northeast
Winter monsoon has brought a lot of rain to southern India, particularly the
southern most state of India, the Tamilnadu and across Sri Lanka.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, rainfall over the entire region was
generally at or slightly below normal levels except over some parts of Malaysia
and Indonesia. The NE monsoon rains along coastal southeastern<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>Indian state of Tamilnadu is at above normal
level. Southeastern China has also received a lot of rainfall. This rainfall
pattern over SE India and China<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>has been
continuing for a few weeks now. In the next couple of weeks, the NCEP GFS model
is also predicting somewhat active Northeast Monsoon along coastal southern
state of Tamilnadu<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>and more rainfall
over southeast China as well as over parts of Malaysia and Indonesia.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">South American
Monsoons (SAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Rainfall deficits continue to increase over the Amazon
Basin.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (30 November-6 December 2015),
below-average precipitation was observed over most of the Amazon Basin, and
northeastern Argentina.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>Above-average
precipitation was observed over portions of Paraguay, and southern and southeastern
Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For 7-13 December 2015, below-average precipitation is
predicted for the Amazon Basin, portions of Peru, eastern Bolivia and southern
Northeast Brazil. Above-average rainfall is predicted for southern Paraguay,
and portions of northern Argentina and southern Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a> (for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov">Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov</a>
(for South American monsoons)</p>
<span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif""><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a> (for North
American monsoon update and for general issues about the CPC Global Monsoons
products)</span><div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><b>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </b></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><b>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</b></div></div></div>
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