<div dir="ltr">
<p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">African Monsoons (AFMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman"">Weekly total rainfall exceeded 150mm over southern Senegal,
Gambia, Guinea-Bissau, portions of Guinea-Conakry, Sierra Leone and western
Liberia, whereas suppressed rainfall prevailed across portions of Nigeria,
Cameroon, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon and portions of CAR.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman"">Week-1 outlooks call for an increased chance for
above-average rainfall over parts of Guinea-Bissau, Guinea, Sierra Leone,
Liberia, and northern Cote d'Ivoire. In contrast, there is an increased chance
for below-average rainfall over southern Sudan, South Sudan Republic, and
northern Uganda.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">Asian-Australian
Monsoons (AAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days rainfall amounts have generally been
below normal over large parts of India, across the southern and east Asia
monsoon region consistent with the ongoing strong El Nino conditions. However,
northeast India, Bangladesh, Burma, and parts of southeastern China have
received above normal rainfall amounts. For the past 30 days, rainfall was
considerably below normal over northern/central India, Thailand, Cambodia,
southern Vietnam and across Indonesian Archipelago. According to the India Met.
Dept. (IMD), the 2015 SW summer monsoon rainfall over India as whole
(June-September) was 14 % below normal.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, except along south India and along
coastal eastern China, rainfall amounts were generally at below normal levels
across the monsoon region, especially across all of Indonesia. In the next
couple of weeks, the NCEP GFS model is predicting more rainfall over eastern
China in the first week, and less rainfall over the region in the second week.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">South American
Monsoons (SAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Rainfall deficits increased over many areas of northern
South America.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (28 September-4 October 2015),
below-average precipitation was observed over a large portion of northern South
America.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>Above-average precipitation was
observed over Paraguay and parts of southwestern Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For 5-11 October 2015, below-average rainfall is predicted
for many areas in northern South America. Above-average rainfall is predicted
for southern Brazil and northern Uruguay.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a> (for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov">Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov</a>
(for South American monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for North American monsoon update and for general issues about the CPC Global
Monsoons products)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><b>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </b></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><b>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</b></div></div></div>
</div>