<div dir="ltr">
<p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">African Monsoons (AFMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Portions
of the Sahel region received above-average rainfall, whereas moisture deficits
prevailed over many places of the Gulf of Guinea countries.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over
southeastern Ethiopia and the neighboring places of northeastern Kenya and
Somalia. In contrast, there is an increased chance for below-average rainfall
over southern Ghana, Togo, Benin, Togo, western Nigeria, eastern South Sudan
Republic, portions of western Ethiopia and northern Uganda.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:
normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">Asian-Australian
Monsoons (AAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days rainfall amounts have generally been
below normal over large parts of India, across the southern and east Asia
monsoon region consistent with the ongoing strong El Nino conditions. However,
northeast India, Bangladesh, Burma, and parts of eastern China have received
above normal rainfall amounts. For the past 30 days, rainfall was considerably
below normal over northern/central India, Thailand, Cambodia, southern Vietnam
and across Indonesian Archipelago. According to the India Met. Dept. (IMD), the
SW summer monsoon rainfall over India as whole since the 1st of June, as of
today September 28st, is now,<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>still 14 %
below normal, about the same as last week.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes">
</span>With the Indian summer monsoon season officially over in a few days at
the end September, these below normal conditions and deficit numbers are
expected to stay.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, as the southwest summer monsoon season is
coming to a close,<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>except along
northwestern India and Pakistan border, rainfall amounts were generally at or
mostly below normal levels across the monsoon region. In the next couple of
weeks, as the summer monsoon season will have officially ended in a
dermatological sense, the NCEP GFS model is predicting some outbursts of
monsoon rain on its way out over parts of southern/northeastern India and
eastern China.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">South American
Monsoons (SAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Rainfall deficits increased over many areas of northern
South America.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (21-27 September 2015), below-average
precipitation was observed over a large portion of northern South America.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>Above-average precipitation was observed over
parts of southern Brazil and Uruguay.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For 28 September -4 October 2015, below-average rainfall is
predicted for many areas in northern South America and extreme southern Brazil.
Above-average rainfall is predicted for portions of Peru, Bolivia and most of
Paraguay.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a> (for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov">Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov</a>
(for South American monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for North American monsoon update and for general issues about the CPC Global
Monsoons products)</p><p class="MsoNormal"><br></p><p class="MsoNormal"><br></p>
<div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><b>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </b></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><b>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</b></div></div></div>
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