<div dir="ltr">
<p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">African Monsoons (AFMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Weekly
total rainfall exceeded 100mm over western Burkina Faso, portions of Nigeria
and southwestern Cameroon.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"">Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over southern
Senegal, Guinea-Bissau, Guinea-Conakry, Sierra Leone, and Liberia. In contrast,
there is an increased chance for below-average rainfall over portions of Cote
d’Ivoire, Ghana Togo and Benin.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:
normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">Asian-Australian
Monsoons (AAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days rainfall amounts have generally been
below normal across the southern and east Asia monsoon region consistent with
the ongoing strong El Nino conditions. However, northeast India, Bangladesh,
Burma, and parts of eastern China have received above normal rainfall amounts.
For the past 30 days, rainfall was considerably below normal over
northern/central India, Thailand, Cambodia, southern Vietnam and across
Indonesian Archipelago. According to the India Met. Dept. (IMD), the SW summer
monsoon rainfall over India as whole since the 1st of June, as of today
September 21st, is now 14 % below normal, slightly better than it was (16%)
last week.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>With less than two weeks left
before the official end of the Indian summer monsoon, these conditions are
expected to only very slightly improve due to the predicted rainfall in the
southern states.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week the above normal rainfall amounts across
central India helped the dire rainfall situation in that region.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>Elsewhere rainfall was below normal. In the
next couple of weeks, the NCEP GFS model is predicting a near complete retreat
of the Indian summer monsoon from much of India, generally less rainfall across
much of south and east Asia consistent with strong El Nino conditions, but
slightly more rainfall over southern India.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">South American
Monsoons (SAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Rainfall deficits are present over many areas of northern
South America.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (14-20 September 2015), below-average
precipitation was observed over a large portion of northern South America, and Brazil
(20-25S).<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>Above-average precipitation
was observed over parts of southern Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For 21-27 September 2015, below-average rainfall is
indicated for northern South America and portions of Southeast Brazil between
20S and 25S. Slightly above-average rainfall is predicted for portions of
central and southern Peru, Bolivia and Uruguay.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a> (for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov">Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov</a>
(for South American monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for North American monsoon update and for general issues about the CPC Global
Monsoons products)</p>
<div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><b>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </b></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><b>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</b></div></div></div>
</div>