<div dir="ltr">
<p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global
Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">African Monsoons (AFMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman"">Moderate to locally heavy rainfall resulted in moisture
surpluses across eastern Sudan, northern Ethiopia and Eritrea, whereas
suppressed rainfall prevailed over many places in the Gulf of Guinea and
Central Africa countries.</span>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman""> </span></p><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman"">Week-1 outlooks call for an increased chance for
above-average rainfall across Guinea-Conakry, portions of southern Mali, Sierra
Leone, western Liberia, northern Cote d'Ivoire, Burkina Faso, portions of
Ghana, Togo, Benin, Nigeria and southwestern Cameroon. In contrast, there is an
increased chance for below-average rainfall over portions of South Sudan,
northeastern DRC, Rwanda and western Uganda.</span>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><span style="mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman""> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">Asian-Australian
Monsoons (AAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days rainfall amounts have generally been
below normal across the southern and east Asia monsoon region consistent with
the ongoing strong El Nino conditions. However, northeast India, Bangladesh,
Burma, and parts of eastern China have received above normal rainfall amounts.
For the past 30 days, rainfall was considerably below normal everywhere except
along northeastern India, parts of Burma and to some extent along southern
China. According to the India Met. Dept. (IMD), the SW summer monsoon rainfall
over India as whole since the 1st of June, as of today September 14th, is now
16 % below normal. With only 2 weeks left before the official end of the Indian
summer monsoon, these conditions are expected to continue. The impacts of the
Pacific El Nino are quite obvious with generally decreased rainfall over
south/east Asia and increased rainfall across the equatorial Pacific.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>the
rainfall amounts over most of central and northern India and elsewhere across
the monsoon region was below<span style="mso-spacerun:yes">
</span>normal.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>In the next couple of
weeks, the NCEP GFS model is predicting a gradual retreat of the Indian summer
monsoon from the west and north of India into central and southern India, more
rainfall over southern and eastern China, but less rainfall over southeast
Asian countries of Thailand, Laos, Vietnam and Cambodia particularly in the
second week.
</p><p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal">South American
Monsoons (SAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight:normal"> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Rainfall deficits are present over the central and southern
Amazon Basin.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (7-13 September 2015), below-average
precipitation was observed over a large portion of northern South America,
and<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>over extreme southern Brazil.<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>Above-average precipitation was observed over
eastern Bolivia, and<span style="mso-spacerun:yes"> </span>over southeastern
and southwestern Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For 14-20 September 2015, below-average rainfall is
indicated for the southern Amazon Basin and over Brazil between 20S and 25S.
Above-average rainfall is predicted for extreme southern Brazil (southern Rio
Grande do Sul).</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a> (for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov">Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov</a>
(for South American monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for North American monsoon update and for general issues about the CPC Global
Monsoons products)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><b>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </b></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><b>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</b></div></div></div>
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