<div dir="ltr">
<p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems (NAMS.ppt, AFMS.ppt and AAMS.ppt)
have been updated on the CPC Global Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b style>HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style>African Monsoons (AFMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style>Weekly
total rainfall exceeded 100mm over Liberia, southern Cote d’Ivoire, western
Cameroon, northeastern DRC, eastern South Sudan Republic and western Ethiopia,
whereas suppressed rainfall prevailed over many places of the central Africa
countries.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style>Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over
Guinea-Conakry, sierra Leone, Liberia, western and northern Cote d’Ivoire,
Burkina Faso, northern Benin and northern Nigeria.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><span style> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><b style> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style>Asian-Australian
Monsoons (AAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days, the precipitation pattern over<span style> </span>entire India, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Burma,
almost all of China was at near-normal to slightly above normal levels.<span style> </span>However, rainfall was much below normal over
Laos, North and South Vietnam and Cambodia, Philippines, parts of Malaysia and
Indonesia, and below normal over large parts of northern and north central
Australia. For the past 30 days, severe precipitation deficits have continue to
exist over many southeast Asian countries Laos, North and South Vietnam,
Cambodia, and the Philippines and excess in precipitation are noticed over
southeastern China.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, the precipitation was generally normal to
below normal over large parts of south east Asia. The India Met. Dept. based on
its own multiple criteria (OLR, rainfall and winds) for India monsoon onset
over its southwestern coast in the state of Kerala, declared the official onset
of the southwest summer monsoon on the 5th of June 2015. In the next couple of
weeks, the NCEP GFS model is predicting above normal precipitation over
northeastern India and vicinity, southeastern China, parts of Indonesia and New
Guinea, and continued below normal rainfall over the other southeast Asian
countries. The models also forecast the slow northward spread of the southwest
monsoon over southcentral India.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style>North American
Monsoons (NAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Slightly above-average rainfall has been observed over
southern Mexico during the past week. </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Rainfall accumulations over the past 30 days are
near-average across the western Mexico and southwestern U.S., and above-average
over the eastern part of Mexico.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">NCEP/GFS Forecasts call for above-average rainfall over the
western Mexico and below-average across the eastern Mexico during the next
week.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style>South American
Monsoons (SAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">The South American Monsoon System 2014-2015 wet season has
ended. The next weekly update will be prepared in September 2015. The summary
of the 2014-2015 wet season can be found on the following webpage:</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/American_Monsoons/American_Monsoons.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/American_Monsoons/American_Monsoons.shtml</a></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a> (for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov">Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov</a>
(for South American monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for North American monsoon update and for general issues about the CPC Global
Monsoons products)</p>
<div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><b>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </b></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><b>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</b></div></div></div>
</div>