<div dir="ltr">
<p class="MsoNormal">The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent
variability of the global monsoon systems (SAMS.ppt, AFMS.ppt and AAMS.ppt)
have been updated on the CPC Global Monsoons website: <br>
<a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml">http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml</a>
<br>
<br>
<b style>HIGHLIGHTS:</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style>African Monsoons (AFMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style>Above-average
rainfall was observed over Guinea-Conakry, Sierra Leone, Gabon, and portions of
DRC and western Ethiopia, whereas suppressed rainfall prevailed over Uganda and
parts of southern Ethiopia.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style>Week-1
outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall over southern
and eastern Guinea-Conakry, Sierra Leone, Liberia, western Cote d'Ivoire,
southern Cameroon, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Congo-Brazzaville, and portions of
western DRC. In contrast, there is an increased chance for below-average
rainfall over eastern Conte d'Ivoire, southern Ghana, Togo, southern Benin and
southern Nigeria.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><span style> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent:12pt"><span style> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style>Asian-Australian Monsoons
(AAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For the past 90 days, the precipitation pattern over eastern
Afghanistan, northern Pakistan, northern Kashmir and over entire India was at
near to slightly above normal levels for this time of the year.<span style> </span>Rainfall was also much above normal over
southwestern Borneo island. However, rainfall was below to much below normal
elsewhere over southern Philippines, southeastern China across Malaysia,
Indonesia and across entire northern and north central Australia. For the past
30 days, the precipitation over southern India, northeast India, Nepal, and
Bangladesh and vicinity was normal to above normal for this time of the year.<span style> </span>However, rainfall was much below normal over
southeastern China, Laos, Vietnam, Cambodia, parts of Indonesia and papa New
Guinea. Overall, precipitation over Australia was near normal for the last
thirty days.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">In this past week, the precipitation was above normal over
Tamilnadu and Kerala states of India, northeast India, Bangladesh and eastern
China. Elsewhere, the rainfall was at or below normal levels. In the next
couple of weeks, the NCEP GFS model is predicting above normal precipitation
over much of Burma, and adjoining regions of China and coastal southeastern
China. Elsewhere, below normal rainfall is forecast by the models.
Interestingly, through the month of May, the model is predicting below normal
along southern India, the traditional onset region of the summer SW monsoon.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style>South American
Monsoons (SAMS.ppt):</b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style> </b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Large long-term rainfall deficits remain over the southern
Amazon Basin and portions of central Brazil.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">During the last 7 days (11-17 May 2015), below-average
precipitation was observed over northern and northeastern South America, southern
Brazil and Uruguay.<span style> </span>Above-average
precipitation was observed over portions of Peru, Bolivia, and southern Chile.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal">For 18-25 May 2015, above-average rainfall is predicted for
portions of Colombia, Venezuela and extreme northern Brazil. Drier-than-average
conditions are predicted for most of Brazil south of the equator and most of
Peru.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
*For questions or comments, please contact: </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br>
<a href="mailto:Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov">Endalkachew.Bekele@noaa.gov</a> (for the African monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov">Muthuvel.Chelliah@noaa.gov</a> (for Asian-Australian monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov">Vernon.Kousky@noaa.gov</a>
(for South American monsoons)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="mailto:Wei.Shi@noaa.gov">Wei.Shi@noaa.gov</a>
(for North American monsoon update and for general issues about the CPC Global
Monsoons products)</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<div><div class="gmail_signature"><div cols="72"><b>--------------------------------------------------------------------------- </b></div>
<div cols="72">Wei Shi, Ph.D </div>
<div cols="72">Meteorologist </div>
<div cols="72">Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA </div>
<div cols="72">NCWCP Room 3116</div>
<div cols="72">5830 University Research Court </div>
<div cols="72">College Park, MD 20740 </div>
<div cols="72">USA </div>
<div cols="72">Phone: (301) 683-3440 </div>
<div cols="72"><b>----------------------------------------------------------------------------</b></div></div></div>
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