[Ncep.list.emc.monsoondesk] Weekly Updates of Global Monsoon Systems

[Wei Shi - NOAA Federal]

The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent variability of
the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global Monsoons
website:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Global_Monsoons/Global-Monsoon.shtml

*HIGHLIGHTS:*



*African Monsoons:*



Tropical Cyclone Dineo resulted in moisture surpluses over parts of
Mozambique and Zimbabwe. Above-average rainfall was also observed over many
places in Ethiopia.



Suppressed rainfall continued to prevail over parts of Tanzania, northern
Mozambique and northern Madagascar.



Week-1 outlooks call for an increased chance for below-average rainfall
over portions of southwestern Angola, northwestern Namibia, northern DRC,
northern Congo, and southern CAR. In contrast, there is an increased chance
for above-average rainfall over parts of southern Zambia, Zimbabwe,
Botswana and South Africa, parts of northern Zambia, Malawi and Tanzania.





*Asian-Australian Monsoons:*



For the past 90 days, slight to heavy rainfall deficits remain over parts
of southeastern, eastern to northeastern parts of Australia, as well as
over Papua New Guinea. However, rainfall situation is generally better in
western Australia, particularly in the northern region. Minor rainfall
deficits are noted in eastern India and southeastern China. For the past 30
days the rainfall was above normal over parts of southern Afghanistan,
northeastern Pakistan, and Jammu Kashmir region of India.. However,
rainfall was significantly below normal over eastern China, northeastern
and eastern Australia, and central and eastern New Guinea island.



In this past week, the rainfall over much of the region was below normal,
except over the Philippines and western parts of Borneo island. Rainfall
was also heavy over south central European countries to the north of
Afghanistan. In the next couple of weeks the NCEP GFS model continues to
predict generally below normal over Australia and eastern China, but above
normal rainfall over much of the Indonesian archipelago.





*South American Monsoons:*



Long-term rainfall deficits are present over the Amazon Basin and central
Brazil.



During the last 7 days (13-19 Feb 2017), below-average precipitation was
observed over much of Colombia, Ecuador, portions of northwestern and
southeastern Brazil, Paraguay and central Argentina.  Above-average
precipitation was observed over the northeastern and the extreme southern
Brazil, Uruguay, Peru and southern Chile.



For 20-26 Feb 2017, below-average precipitation is predicted over central
Brazil, northern Argentina, northwestern Peru and western Colombia.
Above-average precipitation is predicted for portions of northern Brazil,
Peru, Bolivia and northern Chile.




*For questions or comments, please contact:


Endalkachew.Bekele at noaa.gov (for the African monsoons)

Muthuvel.Chelliah at noaa.gov  (for Asian-Australian monsoons)

Wei.Shi at noaa.gov  (for American monsoons and for general issues about the
CPC Global Monsoons products)
*---------------------------------------------------------------------------
   *
Wei Shi, Ph.D
Meteorologist
Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA
NCWCP  Room 3116
5830 University Research Court
College Park, MD 20740
USA
Phone: (301) 683-3440
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