[Ncep.list.emc.monsoondesk] Resend: Weekly Updates of Global Monsoon Systems

Wei Shi - NOAA Federal wei.shi at noaa.gov
Mon Mar 7 18:02:26 UTC 2016

The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent variability of
the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global Monsoons


*African Monsoons (AFMS.ppt):*

Weekly rainfall surpluses exceeded 100mm over local areas in southern
Malawi, and northern Mozambique.

Week-1 outlooks call for an increased chance for above-average rainfall
over southeastern Angola, western Namibia, Botswana, Zimbabwe, and
northeastern South Africa. In contrast, there is an increased chance for
below-average rainfall over southwestern Angola, northwestern Namibia, much
of Malawi, northern Mozambique, portions of southern Tanzania, and northern

*Asian-Australian Monsoons (AAMS.ppt):*

For the past 90 days rainfall amounts were generally at near normal levels
across India (seasonal rainfall is almost nonexistent here), large parts of
China, was a mixed pattern across the southern and east Asia monsoon
region, the Philippines and over Indonesia.  However, coastal southeastern
China had received excessively above normal rainfall, while Papua New
Guinea and northern and central Australia had generally received below
normal rainfall, except sporadically there were some above normal spots.
For the past 30 days the rainfall situation was dire over Australia,
particularly northern Australia and was deficient even over southeastern
China, where it had rained abundantly earlier. However, western parts of
maritime Indonesia has received above normal rainfall.

In this past week, rainfall over the entire region has generally been below
normal. In the next couple of weeks the NCEP GFS model is predicting above
normal rainfall over Pakistan and vicinity and over southeast Asia in the
first week, and a mixed pattern in the second week.

*South American Monsoons (SAMS.ppt):*

Long-term rainfall deficits continue over most of the Amazon Basin and
Central Brazil.

During the last 7 days (29 February-6 March 2016), below-average
precipitation was observed over the northwestern and eastern Amazon Basin,
and portions of central and Northeast Brazil.  Above-average precipitation
was observed over northern Bolivia and neighboring western Brazil.

For 7-13 March 2016, above-average precipitation is predicted for northern,
western and portions of southeastern Brazil. Below-average precipitation is
indicated for Colombia, Ecuador, eastern Brazil, Uruguay and central

*For questions or comments, please contact:

Endalkachew.Bekele at noaa.gov (for the African monsoons)

Muthuvel.Chelliah at noaa.gov (for Asian-Australian monsoons)

Vernon.Kousky at noaa.gov (for South American monsoons)

Wei.Shi at noaa.gov  (for North American monsoon update and for general issues
about the CPC Global Monsoons products)

Wei Shi, Ph.D
Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA
NCWCP  Room 3116
5830 University Research Court
College Park, MD 20740
Phone: (301) 683-3440
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