[Ncep.list.emc.monsoondesk] Weekly Updates of Global Monsoon Systems

Wei Shi - NOAA Federal wei.shi at noaa.gov
Mon Apr 4 15:29:51 UTC 2016

The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent variability of
the global monsoon systems have been updated on the CPC Global Monsoons


*African Monsoons (AFMS.ppt):*

Moderate to locally heavy rainfall resulted in above-average rainfall over
many places in the Central African region, and portions of Tanzania.

Week-1 outlooks call for an increased chance for below-average rainfall
over eastern South Sudan, southwestern Ethiopia, eastern Kenya, and
southeastern Somalia. In contrast, there is an increased chance for
above-average rainfall over portions of southern and eastern Ethiopia.

*Asian-Australian Monsoons (AAMS.ppt):*

For the past 90 days rainfall amount was generally at near normal levels
across India, large parts of China, was a mixed pattern across the southern
and east Asia monsoon region, the Philippines and over Indonesia.  However,
coastal southeastern China and western half of Borneo island had received
excessively above normal rainfall, while Papua New Guinea and large parts
of Australia had generally received below normal rainfall. For the past 30
days the rainfall situation was generally deficient over the whole region,
particularly over northwestern Australia. The exception is over northern
Queensland, over southwestern Borneo island, and  where the rainfall is at
above normal levels. Rainfall was also above normal over some isolated
regions across eastern Afghanistan, northern Pakistan, northern India and
over southeastern China.

In this past week, above normal rainfall conditions appeared over
Bangladesh, northeastern Afghanistan, and southern parts of western
Indonesian islands. In the next couple of weeks the NCEP GFS model is
predicting slightly above normal rainfall conditions over southeastern
China, parts of southwestern Indonesia and costal northeastern Australia.

*South American Monsoons (SAMS.ppt):*

Recent rainfall has reduced long-term rainfall deficits over the southern
Amazon Basin.

During the last 7 days (28 March -3 April 2016), below-average
precipitation was observed over most of Brazil south of 8S, Bolivia and
Paraguay.  Above-average precipitation was observed over Colombia, Ecuador,
northern Peru and portions of the central and eastern Amazon Basin.

For 4-10 April 2016, below-average precipitation is predicted for most of
Brazil.  Above-average precipitation is predicted for Uruguay, northeastern
Argentina, southern Colombia, northern Peru and Ecuador.

*For questions or comments, please contact:

Endalkachew.Bekele at noaa.gov (for the African monsoons)

Muthuvel.Chelliah at noaa.gov (for Asian-Australian monsoons)

Vernon.Kousky at noaa.gov (for South American monsoons)

Wei.Shi at noaa.gov  (for North American monsoon update and for general issues
about the CPC Global Monsoons products)

Wei Shi, Ph.D
Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA
NCWCP  Room 3116
5830 University Research Court
College Park, MD 20740
Phone: (301) 683-3440
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