[Ncep.list.emc.monsoondesk] Weekly Updates of Global Monsoon Systems

Wei Shi - NOAA Federal wei.shi at noaa.gov
Mon Feb 2 17:05:55 UTC 2015

The weekly PowerPoint presentations summarizing the recent variability of
the global monsoon systems (SAMS.ppt, AFMS.ppt and AAMS.ppt) have been
updated on the CPC Global Monsoons website:


*African Monsoons (AFMS.ppt):*

Moderate to locally heavy rainfall sustained moisture surpluses over
eastern Zambia, Malawi and northern Mozambique, whereas suppressed rainfall
prevailed over many places of East Africa.

Week-1 outlooks call for an increased chance for below-average rainfall
over southern Angola, northern Namibia, parts of western Zambia and
southern Botswana, South Africa and Lesotho. In contrast, there an
increased chance for above-average rainfall over southern Tanzania, Malawi,
eastern Zimbabwe, Mozambique, and Madagascar.

*Asian-Australian Monsoons (AAMS.ppt):*

For the past 90 days, the rainfall over extreme southern peninsular India
has been below normal, whereas it was above normal over much of Malaysia,
Indonesia, northwestern Australia and Philippines. Rainfall was also below
normal over Papa New Guinea and over Queensland. For the past 30 days,
rainfall over the region as a whole in general has been at or above normal
levels, except over Papa New Guinea and near Queensland, Australia.

In this past week,  the significant feature has been the below normal
rainfall over much of northern Australia. In the next two weeks, the NCEP
GFS model is predicting continued below normal rainfall over Australia.

*South American Monsoons (SAMS.ppt):*

Rainfall deficits continue over central  and southeastern Brazil.

During the last 7 days (26 January-1 February 2015), below-average
precipitation was observed over portions of the central and eastern Amazon
Basin, and central and southeastern Brazil.  Above-average precipitation
was observed over southern Colombia, eastern Ecuador, southern Peru and
northern Bolivia.

For 2-8 February 2015, below-average precipitation is indicated for central
Peru, eastern Bolivia, northern Argentina, Uruguay and southern Brazil.
Above-average precipitation is predicted for portions of central and
Southeast Brazil.

*For questions or comments, please contact:

Endalkachew.Bekele at noaa.gov (for the African monsoons)

Muthuvel.Chelliah at noaa.gov (for Asian-Australian monsoons)

Vernon.Kousky at noaa.gov (for South American monsoons)

Wei.Shi at noaa.gov  (for North American monsoon update and for general issues
about the CPC Global Monsoons products)

Wei Shi, Ph.D
Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA
NCWCP  Room 3116
5830 University Research Court
College Park, MD 20740
Phone: (301) 683-3440
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