<div dir="ltr">👍<br></div><div class="gmail_extra"><br><div class="gmail_quote">On Thu, May 10, 2018 at 6:55 AM, Avichal Mehra - NOAA Federal <span dir="ltr"><<a href="mailto:avichal.mehra@noaa.gov" target="_blank">avichal.mehra@noaa.gov</a>></span> wrote:<br><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0 0 0 .8ex;border-left:1px #ccc solid;padding-left:1ex"><div dir="ltr"><div><div>All:<br><br></div>The below is an excerpt from the most recent NHC's verification report for the 2017 season.<br><br></div>Cheers, Avichal.<br><div><br>>><br><br>An analysis of HMNI’s performance suggests that adding that model to the IVCN and ICON consensus aids should<br>improve those models, and therefore,<span style="background-color:rgb(0,255,0)"> HMNI is being included in the intensity consensus models for 2018</span>. In addition, <br>for 2018 EMNI and <span style="background-color:rgb(0,255,0)">HMNI are being added to the multi-model track consensus for the east Pacific (TVCE).<br></span><br>Two new consensus aids are being created for 2018. A track consensus model (TVDG) that includes a double- weight <br>of GFSI, EMXI, and EGRI and normal weight for regional models CTCI and HWFI is new for 2018. Similarly,<span style="background-color:rgb(0,255,0)"> a new intensity <br>consensus model (IVDR) that includes a double- weight for CTCI, HWFI, HMNI, and normal weight for GFSI, DSHP, and LGEM will be<br>available in 2018</span>.<span class="HOEnZb"><font color="#888888"><br clear="all"><div><div><br>-- <br><div class="m_6037523477414515010gmail_signature" data-smartmail="gmail_signature"><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div> Dr. Avichal Mehra <a href="mailto:Avichal.Mehra@noaa.gov" target="_blank">Avichal.Mehra@noaa.gov</a><br> Acting Chief, Coupling & Dynamics Group in Modeling & Data Assimilation Branch</div><div> Lead Physical Scientist NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC<br> 5830 University Research Court Room 2104
<br> College Park Ph. 301-683-3746<br> MD 20740 Fax: 301-683-3703</div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div>
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