[Ncep.hmon] news for HMON from NHC

Weiguo Wang - NOAA Affiliate weiguo.wang at noaa.gov
Thu May 10 11:05:49 UTC 2018


👍

On Thu, May 10, 2018 at 6:55 AM, Avichal Mehra - NOAA Federal <
avichal.mehra at noaa.gov> wrote:

> All:
>
> The below is an excerpt from the most recent NHC's verification report for
> the 2017 season.
>
> Cheers, Avichal.
>
> >>
>
> An analysis of HMNI’s performance suggests that adding that model to the
> IVCN and ICON consensus aids should
> improve those models, and therefore, HMNI is being included in the
> intensity consensus models for 2018. In addition,
> for 2018 EMNI and HMNI are being added to the multi-model track consensus
> for the east Pacific (TVCE).
>
> Two new consensus aids are being created for 2018. A track consensus model
> (TVDG) that includes a double- weight
> of GFSI, EMXI, and EGRI and normal weight for regional models CTCI and
> HWFI is new for 2018. Similarly, a new intensity
> consensus model (IVDR) that includes a double- weight for CTCI, HWFI,
> HMNI, and normal weight for GFSI, DSHP, and LGEM will be
> available in 2018.
>
> --
>     Dr. Avichal Mehra                               Avichal.Mehra at noaa.gov
>     Acting Chief, Coupling & Dynamics Group in Modeling & Data
> Assimilation Branch
>     Lead Physical Scientist                      NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC
>     5830 University Research Court           Room 2104
>     College Park                                      Ph.   301-683-3746
>     MD 20740                                          Fax: 301-683-3703
>
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>
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