[Ncep.hmon] news for HMON from NHC

Avichal Mehra - NOAA Federal avichal.mehra at noaa.gov
Thu May 10 10:55:01 UTC 2018


All:

The below is an excerpt from the most recent NHC's verification report for
the 2017 season.

Cheers, Avichal.

>>

An analysis of HMNI’s performance suggests that adding that model to the
IVCN and ICON consensus aids should
improve those models, and therefore, HMNI is being included in the
intensity consensus models for 2018. In addition,
for 2018 EMNI and HMNI are being added to the multi-model track consensus
for the east Pacific (TVCE).

Two new consensus aids are being created for 2018. A track consensus model
(TVDG) that includes a double- weight
of GFSI, EMXI, and EGRI and normal weight for regional models CTCI and HWFI
is new for 2018. Similarly, a new intensity
consensus model (IVDR) that includes a double- weight for CTCI, HWFI, HMNI,
and normal weight for GFSI, DSHP, and LGEM will be
available in 2018.

-- 
    Dr. Avichal Mehra                               Avichal.Mehra at noaa.gov
    Acting Chief, Coupling & Dynamics Group in Modeling & Data Assimilation
Branch
    Lead Physical Scientist                      NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC
    5830 University Research Court           Room 2104
    College Park                                      Ph.   301-683-3746
    MD 20740                                          Fax: 301-683-3703
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